The Ministry of Environment and Climate Change has forecasted below-average rainfall and above-normal temperatures for Somalia during the Gu season (March-May) of 2025. Specifically, from April 1 to 8, Lower Juba is expected to receive 20–30 mm of rainfall, while regions such as Nugal, Bari, Gedo, Bay, Bakool, Hiran, and parts of Mudug are anticipated to receive 5–10 mm. Temperatures across the southern regions are projected to range between 29°C and 32°C.

These conditions pose significant risks to food security, water availability, and livestock survival. The anticipated below-average rainfall and above-normal temperatures could exacerbate drought conditions, impacting livelihoods and increasing humanitarian needs. To mitigate these potential impacts, the Somalia Multi-Stakeholder Climate Outlook Forum has urged government and humanitarian agencies to enhance early warning systems, scale up drought response efforts, and support communities at risk. Farmers and livestock keepers are advised to adopt climate-resilient agricultural practices and water conservation techniques to minimize losses. Health and disaster management authorities are encouraged to prepare for heat-related illnesses and waterborne diseases due to extreme temperatures. Development partners and NGOs are urged to provide timely humanitarian assistance, particularly in the most affected regions.

Given the severity of the forecasted conditions, immediate and coordinated action among all stakeholders, including international partners and local communities, is essential to address the worsening drought conditions and safeguard Somali communities.